ORLANDO, Fla. – The National Hurricane Center is tracking two areas of interest in the Atlantic Basin. Both of which have decent odds of development this week.
The NHC has designated the area of showers and thunderstorms near Bermuda as Invest 95L. Development early in the week is possible with a short-lived tropical depression not out of the question before being absorbed by a frontal boundary and hurdled towards the northern Atlantic as the week rolls on.
We are also inching up development odds for a tropical wave that is about to roll off the West African coast. This wave is expected to emerge into the Atlantic waters on Monday. The NHC has bumped up the development potential of this wave to 50% as of Sunday night.
If this wave gets north of the Caribbean, it will enter a relatively favorable environment for further development. Upper-level wind shear is weakening over the Atlantic main development region. This will allow the thunderstorms to grow taller and not be sheared apart. On top of that, there will be a break in Saharan Dust over this area. Both combined give this wave a chance at development.
The system will likely curve out to sea if it survives, curving around the Bermuda High.
