ORLANDO, Fla. – As the climatological peak of hurricane season approaches, the main development region off the coast of Africa is now a conga line of tropical waves rolling offshore.
Thanks to strong wind shear and a large amount of Saharan Dust, the Atlantic has been closed for business for tropical development. However, models are hinting at a reawakening next week.
Global models are picking up on a wave rolling off of the West African coastline early next week and traversing westward.
Environmental parameters look a little more favorable early next week, but the window for this wave to roll off the African coast is limited in order to find itself in the “sweet spot.” By the end of the weekend and into early next week, upper level wind shear over the Main Development Region will weaken.
Additionally, on Monday there will be a brief break in the Saharan Dust before the next plume begins to push off the African coast. If the timing is just right, this wave will have a pathway for less dust and lower shear, giving it an opportunity for development by the end of next week.
Models, like the European shown here, show a decent chance of at least a tropical depression by the end of next week. As of now, the NHC does is not spotlighting this area of the Atlantic.
Stick with News 6 for the latest updates on the tropics as they happen.