The insanely quiet October of 2021 continues in the Atlantic! There continues to be no threat to Florida or the entire U.S. at this time.

Hurricane season is slow and may close up shop early, and that’s a good thing!

The Atlantic is nice and quiet as we venture through the middle of October, but that could change in the final week or so of the month.

It is all but certain the 2021 hurricane season will use up its allotted names for the Atlantic Basin.

The long-term future of Sam is in question for a couple of reasons.

Over the next several days into early next week, two more names of the 2021 hurricane season may be crossed off the list.

The Atlantic isn’t primed and ready to go just yet, but it’s getting there.

Things look to start changing as we head into the second week of August.

The tropics will quiet down considerably behind Elsa, the earliest fifth named storm on record.

This was able to factor in enough to take the out-to-sea track highlighted in last weeks Tropical Tracker. Thankfully, while the Atlantic has been cranking out tons of named storms this year, the Atlantic has a whole has had trouble supporting them. The Madden-Julian Oscillation can enhance or suppress tropical development as the disturbance moves around the world. When the Atlantic is under the influence of downward motion or sinking air, tropical development becomes less likely. When the convective or enhanced phase of the MJO sneaks into the Atlantic Basin, tropical development can become more likely.