ORLANDO, Fla. – Sept. 10 marks the climatological peak of the Atlantic hurricane season.
The peak day of hurricane season is thankfully behaving much like the first half of the season to date, relatively quiet.
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2022 marked the first time in seven years where no system developed prior to the start of the season. August saw no tropical systems in the Atlantic basin for the first time since 1997.
To date there have been five named storms this season. The last two storms, Danielle and Earl, were the first two hurricanes of the season. Earl achieved Category 2 status.
The NHC states although post-tropical , Earl remains both large and powerful as an extratropical low. Models continue to show a weakening trend over the next few days. A slow movement to the northeast is expected over the next 36 hours, after that it will move generally east for about 4 days or so. The wind field is still large with strong winds expected over the Avalon Penninsula of Newfoundland through tomorrow.
The wave over western Africa is still forecast to move off the coast by Monday. Low chance at development 30% over the next 5 days .
Much like the first half of the season, dry, dusty and stable air continues to be present in the main development region, between the Lesser Antilles and Africa.
Strong storms can still develop in quiet seasons so it is important to always remain prepared.
Hurricane season runs through November.
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