ORLANDO, Fla. – The tropics continue heating up with two disturbances highlighted by the National Hurricane Center and a soon-to-be major hurricane out in the Atlantic.
Central Floridians should closely watch the progress of an area in the Caribbean as an area of low pressure is expected to lift north into the southern Gulf of Mexico by the end of the week.
It is at that point that model uncertainty increases on its track and overall strength. Latest runs show stronger shear entering the Gulf, limiting significant development through the weekend.
Regardless of development, plenty of tropical moisture nearby will keep conditions unsettled for much of the Sunshine State through early next week.
The NHC gives it a 10% chance of development in the next two days and a 40% chance in the next seven days.
Another disturbance a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands, designated as Invest 91L, could develop and a tropical depression could form over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
It has a 80% chance of development in the next two days and a 90% chance in the next seven days.
Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Kirk is expected to strengthen into a hurricane by Tuesday night. It has maximum sustained winds of 60 mph.
Kirk looks to be the third major hurricane of the season. Although it is expected to remain more than a thousand miles away from our coast, models show it sending large surf to much of the east coast by the weekend.
The next name on the list is Leslie.
Hurricane season runs through November.
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