ORLANDO, Fla. – As the astronauts on Crew-10 prepares for their mission launch Wednesday night from Florida’s Space Coast, meteorologists are not only focused on the weather around the launch pad but also watching conditions hundreds of miles out to sea over the Atlantic Ocean.
Current launch forecast has a 95% chance for “go” as winds, cloud cover and rain chances remain favorable for a successful launch. The only concern listed in their official forecast indicates a moderate concern for the “ascent recovery.”
When a rocket launches, the path it follows is meticulously calculated to ensure the safety of the crew and the success of the mission as far north as Ireland. Part of this planning involves considering what would happen in the unlikely event of an emergency. The ascent recovery forecast takes into account conditions for a safe splash down and recovery of the crew.
While much of the forecast looks favorable for launch, conditions in the Northern Atlantic could raise some concerns as wave heights for Wednesday’s launch forecast show wave heights peaking at 10-12 feet between Newfoundland and Ireland.
High waves can pose a significant risk to the spacecraft and crew during an emergency splashdown. Therefore, mission planners closely monitor ocean conditions, including wave heights, to ensure they are within safe limits.
When the launch happens, you can watch it live here.